Looking for Clues
It’s been a pretty ropey 6 weeks since the Irish Open. I looked back and it seems to be three cashes (albeit one win) in 12 tournaments, which isn’t really good enough. I suppose these runs happen, but I thought I’d look back over the tournament knock out hands to see where things were going wrong. I really don’t feel like I am playing badly, certainly not like the October/November period last year, when my game went to pot in a hyper LAG experimental stage. Data is displayed below, but from some quick analysis:
Bad points
I am getting into too many race situations (which I am losing)
I am overvaluing medium pocket pairs
Good points
I am generally the aggressor in exit hands
I am rarely in worse shape than a coin flip
Eliminations are occurring generally late in tournaments around bubble area
Of course, all this data is of limited use taken in isolation, because you have to account for stack sizes, player reads, payout structures and blinds. The data is below, most recent tournament first, displaying hand matchup (mine first), whether I was aggressor or caller, and also whether elimination was early or late in the tournament (late being final 9 players).
Tournament1: AK v AQ v JJ, Aggressor, Early
Tournament2: AJ v A10, Aggressor, Late
Tournament3: T2 v A5, Aggressor, Late (cashed)
Tournament4: TT v A5, Caller, Late
Tournament5: 99 v QQ, Caller, Late
Tournament6: Mid pair with Ace v Set, Aggressor, Late
Tournament7: Winner
Tournament8: Top pair with Ace v Flush draw, Caller, Early
Tournament9: 22 v AK, Aggressor, Late
Tournament10: 88 v KQ, Aggressor, Late (cashed)
Tournament11: 99 v AK, Aggressor, Late
Tournament12: J10 v 77, Aggressor, Late